Cincinnati Reds · Philadelphia Phillies
vs
BN Pick
Over 9.5 (-130)
AI Metrics
Model Line
AI Fair Total Over 9.5 @ -148
Edge
Expected Value (+7.9%)
Confidence
Model Certainty (71%)
Risk Factor
Variance Level Medium
Run Distribution
0–3: 8% ·
4–6: 22% ·
7–9: 30% ·
10+: 40%
Game Type
Run‑Heavy Game