Match Analysis - 12/09/2025 EuroBasket
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇫🇮 Finland – Germany to Win @1.16 🕐 17:00
Germany come into the semifinal with a perfect 7–0 record and an average of 101.8 points per game. They’ve already beaten Finland 91–61 in the group stage and have won all six of their most recent head-to-heads. Finland have conceded 85+ points in four of their last five games and have struggled against high-tempo offenses. Germany’s depth, shooting efficiency, and defensive control make them overwhelming favorites.
Alternative pick: Over 174.5 Total Points @1.50
Germany’s last five games have all gone over 175 points, while Finland average 87.3 points per game. With both teams pushing pace and shooting early in possessions, this line offers strong value.
Statistical Prediction: Germany -14.5 Handicap @1.65
🇬🇷 Greece vs 🇹🇷 Turkey – Greece to Win @1.85 🕐 21:00
Greece have won 8 of their last 10 meetings against Turkey, including the last 5 in a row. They come into the semifinal with strong momentum after eliminating Lithuania and Israel, and have led at halftime in 7 of their last 8 games. Turkey are undefeated in the tournament but have conceded 77+ points in 4 of their last 5 matches. Greece’s defensive discipline and tactical control under Spanoulis give them the edge in a high-pressure knockout setting.
Alternative pick: Over 158.5 Total Points @1.50
Both teams average over 86 points per game in the tournament. Greece’s last 3 games finished with 163, 165, and 174 points respectively, while Turkey’s last 3 hit 172, 168, and 176. The pace and scoring efficiency suggest a high total.
Statistical Prediction: Greece -3.5 Handicap @1.57
Match Analysis - 09 & 10/09/2025 EuroBasket – Round of 16
🇱🇹 Lithuania vs 🇬🇷 Greece – Greece to Win @1.42 🕐 21:00
Greece have won 5 of their last 7 head-to-heads against Lithuania and enter the quarterfinals with strong momentum, led by Giannis Antetokounmpo averaging 30 points per game. Lithuania have struggled defensively against top-tier teams, conceding 107 to Germany and 81 to Finland. Greece’s scoring depth and defensive discipline give them the edge.
Alternative pick: Over 159.5 Total Points @1.60
Both teams average over 86 points per game and have hit high totals consistently. Lithuania’s last 3 games finished with 167, 155, and 169 points respectively, while Greece’s last 3 were 163, 170, and 174.
Statistical Prediction: Over 165.5 Total Points @2.12
🇫🇮 Finland vs 🇬🇪 Georgia – Finland to Win @1.42 🕐 17:00
Finland have won 3 of their last 5 and average 92 points per game, while Georgia struggle defensively and have lost 3 of their last 5. With superior scoring, home-court advantage, and better form, Finland are slight favorites.
Alternative pick: Over 160.5 Total Points @1.70
Finland’s last 5 games averaged 172 points, Georgia’s 152. Both teams show offensive rhythm.
Statistical Prediction: Over 165.5 Total Points @2.12
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇸🇮 Slovenia – Over 175.5 Total Points @1.62 🕐 21:00
Germany average 102.3 points per game and Slovenia 93.8, with both teams hitting Over in 4 of their last 6. Their last two head-to-heads produced 171 and 174 points. With high offensive efficiency and fast tempo, the Over line carries strong value.
Alternative pick: First Quarter Winner – Germany @1.42
Germany have won the first quarter in 7 of their last 7 games, while Slovenia have trailed early in 3 of their last 5. With explosive starts and depth in scoring, this pick offers solid probability.
Statistical Prediction: Germany to Win @1.13
