Basket Tips

Match Analysis - 14/09/2025 EuroBasket 

🇬🇷 Greece vs 🇫🇮 Finland – Greece to Win @1.52 🕐 17:00
Greece enter the bronze medal match with a 4–1 record in the group stage and wins over Lithuania and Israel in the knockouts. They’ve led at halftime in 7 of their last 9 games and dominated first quarters in 8 of 9. Finland, while explosive offensively (avg. 87.1 pts), have conceded 85+ points in 5 of their last 6 matches and struggled against structured defenses. Greece’s tactical discipline under Spanoulis, combined with their superior rebounding and half-court execution, make them statistically favored to secure third place.

Alternative pick: Over 170.5 Total Points @1.75
Both teams average over 78 points per game, and their last 5 combined matches have averaged 166+ points. With Finland pushing pace and Greece efficient in transition and pick-and-roll, this total is well within reach.

Statistical Prediction: Greece -3.5 Handicap @1.75

🇹🇷 Turkey vs 🇩🇪 Germany – Germany to Win @1.78 🕐 21:00
Germany head into the EuroBasket final with a flawless 8–0 record, averaging 101.4 points per game and winning every knockout match by double digits. They’ve already edged Turkey 73–71 in the Super Cup semifinal and have won 8 of their last 10 head-to-heads. Turkey, despite being undefeated in the tournament, have allowed 77+ points in 5 of their last 6 games and rely heavily on isolation scoring. Germany’s depth, ball movement, and defensive versatility give them the statistical edge in this high-stakes final.

Alternative pick: Over 171.5 Total Points @1.78
Germany’s last 5 games have averaged over 170 points, while Turkey’s last 4 have all gone above 165. With both teams pushing pace and shooting early, this total is well within reach.

Statistical Prediction: Germany -3.5 Handicap @2.07